Tag: Jeremy Maclin

NFL Week 15 Picks

Posted on by trevozza

As Lil Wayne eloquently said back in 2008, “I ain’t kinda hot, I’m sauna. I sweat money and the bank is my shower.” I’ve gone 4-2 in consecutive weeks to bring my season total to 25-14-3. It still isn’t too late to hop on the gravy train.

 

To review my Week 14 picks:

Washington Redskins (-2) @ Philadelphia Eagles WIN

Minnesota Vikings (-3) @ Jacksonville Jaguars WIN

Cincinnati Bengals (-5.5) @ Cleveland Browns WIN

Denver Broncos (+1.5) @ Tennessee Titans LOSS

Seattle Seahawks @ Green Bay Packers (+3) WIN

Dallas Cowboys (-3.5) @ New York Giants LOSS

Here’s what I learned last week:

  1. Again, you live by the Eli, you die by the Eli. Also, I’m not NFL coach but to beat the Giants I think that all you have to do is eliminate the Odell Beckham Jr slant route. Play an inside position on him and make Eli dump it down the sidelines instead of giving him the easy completion across the middle.
  2. Either the Denver Broncos are sneaky bad, or the Tennessee Titans are sneaky good. Take that as you will.
  3. If there’s some sort of storm in the forecast and it shares a name with a starting quarterback, you bet the rent on that guy’s team.
  4. DeSean Jackson will score a long touchdown and walk into the end zone backwards in every single game he plays against the Philadelphia Eagles for the rest of his career.

 

Now onto this week’s picks.

Philadelphia Eagles @ Baltimore Ravens (-5.5)

After last week’s loss to the New England Patriots:

cw84nenveaasgy5

After this week’s game vs the Philadelphia Eagles:

czhncoeucaadw7h

The Ravens lost a tough one in New England last Monday night, and are now on the outside looking in on the playoff hunt. They are only one game behind the Pittsburgh Steelers in the AFC North race, and they square off in Week 16 on Christmas Day. This is a must win for the Ravens, and I think Joe Flacco breaks the Flaccometer by throwing for 4 TDs. The Ravens have found a stud in rookie RB Kenneth Dixon, and his versatility was brought to light in last week’s primetime game. Steve Smith Sr is healthy, Mike Wallace is bound to burn some poor Philly CB, and Dennis Pitta is always a threat to go off with his pal Joe.

The Eagles lost a big one at home last week to the Washington Redskins and are virtually out of playoff contention. WR Jordan Matthews returned from his injury, but it is too little, too late for an Eagles team that has massive voids all over the field. They will also be without RBs Darren Sproles and Wendell Smallwood, leaving injury prone Ryan Mathews as their lone threat at RB. The Eagles secondary has been a liability all year, and I think that Joe Flacco picks them apart through the air.

Green Pay Packers (-5.5) @ Chicago Bears

Green Bay is going to be packin’ heat this Sunday in Chicago. The high is supposed to be ZERO degrees Fahrenheit. Green Bay has been on a roll during their three game winning streak, winning by 14, 8, and 28 against good teams in the Eagles, Texans, and Seahawks. While the weather may take a toll on the pace of pay and the amount of points (hint: take the under around 40ish), I think that the Packers will keep up their streak on the backs of Ty Montgomery, Jordy Nelson, and Davante Adams. I also don’t think that the cold will be too much of a factor, given the Packers’ breakthrough tent technology they’ve brought onto the sidelines:

1480393623761.jpg

In Chicago Bears news, WR Alshon Jeffery is returning from his 4 game suspension but without Jay Cutler throwing the ball to him I donnnnnttttt caaaaaaarrrrreeee. Green Bay’s defense has been getting healthier and better, and I think that they keep an injured Chicago team in check. Packers might win this game 17-7 or some nonsense like that.

Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings (-4.5)

Guess who’s back, back again. AP’s back, tell a friend.

I was all over this pick before this news broke. The Vikings had a big bounce back win last week at Jacksonville after consecutive losses by a combined 5 points. The Colts lost a tough game in Houston. Indianapolis will be without WR Donte Moncrief, and his backup, Phillip Dorsett is listed as questionable. This will allow the great Minnesota corners to keep an eye on star WR TY Hilton the entire game and force less talented receivers to beat them. With Adrian Peterson back in the equation, I think that the Colts’ defense has trouble containing him, Stefon Diggs, Adam Thielen, and Kyle Rudolph all at once.

Tennessee Titans @ Kansas City Chiefs (-5.5)

The Tennessee Titans give up a lottttt of yards through the air. Although Chiefs QB Alex Smith doesn’t really air it out deep where Tennessee is most vulnerable, he has some of the most dynamic weapons in the league. TE Travis Kelce and WR Tyreek Hill have been the go to guys for Kansas City this year while Jeremy Maclin has battled through some injuries. Kelce has had 4 straight games of 100+ yards receiving, and Hill is so fast, he makes fast players look….not fast.

*Nailed it*

2001.gif

The Titans are good, but I don’t think that their defense is capable of stopping this Chiefs team. They allow 292 passing yards per game, and Alex Smith doesn’t make a whole lot of mistakes. He has only thrown 5 interceptions this year and is the master of the ‘game manager’ role. With the speedy Tyreek Hill and the brute strength of Travis Kelce, Alex Smith’s short pass game turns into long gains in the blink of an eye.

Cleveland Browns @ Buffalo Bills (-10)

In what should already be a bloodbath, Bills’ Sammy Watkins is now 100% healthy. The Browns have only covered the spread twice this season. The Bills still have an outside chance of making the playoffs, and Rex Ryan is reportedly on the hot seat, so I don’t think they let this game get close. Shady should have himself a day running the ball, and as long as Mike Gillislee doesn’t vulture some goal line touches, he could go for 150+ yards and 2+ TDs.

 

There it is. Five picks. Five wins. Call me DJ Khaled because you’re about to ride with me through the journey of more success.

97mgtix-imgur.gif

 

NFL Week 10 Picks

Posted on by trevozza

Picks out for Harambe is back and better than ever. I’ve been riding hot and have no signs of slowing down. Nothing like some gambling goodness to fund some weekly debauchery.

My new nickname should be Pusha T because half of my picks last week resulted in a push. I might have to start buying half points so it’s either a W or an L. I went 3-0-2 last week to go to 15-8-3 on the year. To recap Week 9’s picks:

New York Jets (+4) @ Miami Dolphins PUSH

Dallas Cowboys (-7) @ Cleveland Browns WIN

Carolina Panthers (-3) @ Los Angeles Rams PUSH

Indianapolis Colts @ Green Bay Packers OVER 54.5 WIN

New Orleans Saints (-4) @ San Francisco 49ers WIN

 

Pushes aren’t the worst thing in the world, but when all of your other bets hit, it’s a bitter pill to swallow. Time to ride the hot streak and go undefeated in Week 10. The picks:

Los Angeles Rams @ New York Jets (-1) UNDER 40 points

After 3 impressive wins against the Seahawks, Buccaneers, and Cardinals, the LA Rams have lost 4 straight, including 2 consecutive games in which they only scored 10 points. The Rams have been a train wreck on offense, with veteran journeyman Case Keenum at the helm as QB. 2015 Rookie of the Year award winner RB Todd Gurley has yet to have a big game, and the only bright spot on offense has been WR Kenny Britt. I don’t expect Gurley to get going against the stingy Jets defense, even with the developing story that is #CakeGate:

The Rams average 77 yards on the ground a game while the Jets allow 81 per game. They surrounded a big game to Jay Ajayi and the Dolphins last week, but that is partially due to New York benching DEs Mohammad Wilkerson and Sheldon Richardson in the 1st Quarter.

The Jets have had success running the ball this year, averaging 113 yards per game. If the Jets are smart (MAJOR IF), they’ll control the time of possession by establishing the run and sticking to it. The more they allow QB Ryan Fitzpatrick to throw, the more likely he’ll throw the worst interception of all time.

One factor that I’ve taken into consideration all year is the West Coast team playing on the East Coast in the 1:00 PM time slot. The Rams are doing just that this week, so I believe that they’ll come stumbling out of the gate and will allow the Jets to come away with the victory. I like the under of 40 points in this game because I think that both teams will try to run the ball and let the clock tick. There also is still some speculation as to whether or not Ryan Fitzpatrick will be able to play. If he doesn’t, and Bryce Petty starts at QB, then I definitely think that he’ll be given a simple playbook for the game which includes lots and lots of running plays. If Fitzpatrick plays and he performs poorly, I also think that Petty could come in mid-game and get the simple playbook. The same deal goes for the Rams and QB Jared Goff. The Los Angeles fans have been clamoring for their #1 draft pick to get a shot, so I’d have to imagine that Case Keenum has a short leash in this game as well.

UPDATE:

https://twitter.com/shehanjeyarajah/status/797610374203842560

Bet the rent on the Jets. Our Messiah has arrived.

Kansas City Chiefs @ Carolina Panthers (-3)

After a boring win in Los Angeles, the Carolina Panthers are returning home in what is pretty much a must win game for them. They are 3-5 and can pretty much kiss their season goodbye if they fall to 3-6. Cam Newton is finally 100% healthy and I think he uses his arsenal of weapons to have a vintage Cam Newton game. The Chiefs allow a whopping 124 yards on the ground per game while allowing another 256 through the air. Cam’s healthy, RB Jonathan Stewart is healthy, and his top targets are all healthy as well. Cam has ran 7 times in his last two games, showing that he is comfortable and confident in getting outside of the pocket again. He wasn’t quite himself when he returned from his concussion, but he looks ready to rock now.

For the Chiefs, they will have both QB Alex Smith and RB Spencer Ware returning from injuries this week. While it is always good to have your QB1 back and he is definitely the most trusted guy the Chiefs have, I think it’s almost detrimental to the team to have him back against the Panthers defense. The Panthers secondary is nowhere near as good as they were last year, but they are most susceptible to the long ball. Alex Smith, however, doesn’t have as big as an arm that backup QB Nick Foles has. Smith relies on short passes to TE Travis Kelce and screens/swings to RB Spencer Ware. This is the same quarterback that went nearly 600 days without throwing a TD to a wide receiver. He may not throw one this week, as start WR Jeremy Maclin has already been ruled out.

Edge rusher Justin Houston’s loss will be felt as well, as it’ll allow Cam Newton more time in the pocket as well as having a less skilled LB spy him when he does get out of the pocket. This could be a statement win for a Panthers team that has wildly underperformed all season.

Houston Texans (+2.5) @ Jacksonville Jaguars

While neither team has been impressive this year, I think that the Houston Texans are less of an embarrassment to the league. Despite Brock Osweiler’s best attempts to make the Texans offense look like an expansion team, they still have one of the best RBs in the league in Lamar Miller and one of the best WRs in DeAndre Hopkins. I honestly don’t expect much from the Houston passing game, but I could see Lamar Miller and the rest of their run offense having a field day against the Jaguars.

The Jaguars have a pretty decent secondary, and lesser units have done more than great against the Brocketship. However, Blake Bortles has been terrrrrrrible. He’s become a running joke amongst analysts as a QB that only puts up points in garbage time. I expect the same from him this week. Bortles may throw for 300 yards, but half of them may come in the 4th quarter when the game is already out of reach. This is a big spot for the Texans to keep the league in the AFC South.

Miami Dolphins @ San Diego Chargers (-4)

The Chargers have a sneaky good run defense, only allowing 85 yards per game. Rookie DE Joey Bosa is starting to play like a beast. The Dolphins may have found their RB of the future in Jay Ajayi, but I think that the Chargers will stack the box and force QB Ryan Tannehill to beat them through the air. Tannehill has had a rather pedestrian season thus far, averaging 218 yards per game while only throwing 8 TDs to his 7 INTs. The Chargers are giving up nearly 300 yards in the air per game, so their biggest area of concern should be Kenny Stills or DeVante Parker burning their corners for a big score. San Diego hopes to combat the deep ball threats with CB Casey Hayward, who leads the NFL with 5 interceptions and veteran CB Brandon Flowers, who had a pick-6 last week.

On offense, the Chargers have workhorse RB Melvin Gordon, who has already amassed 1,052 yards from scrimmage in 9 games. He is coming off of a monster game, and he has 12 total touchdowns this season. The Chargers are also getting TE Hunter Henry back from injury. Speedster WR Travis Benjamin is not expected to dress, but I don’t think that will be a major factor in this game.

I think that QB Phillip Rivers at home in this spot is a sure bet. The Dolphins are beatable both by the run and by the pass, so Rivers will call a smart game while taking advantage of the numerous mismatches across the field. The Dolphins got away with some bad throws from Ryan Fitzpatrick last week that resulted in either incompletions or interceptions. Phillip Rivers does not make those same mistakes.

Seattle Seahawks @ New England Patriots (-7.5)

Bill Belichick off of a bye week against a ‘rival’ in Seattle playing on a short week with a healthy Tom Brady, Rob Gronkowski, Julian Edelman, LeGarrette Blount, AND Dion Lewis. Don’t try to tell me Bill isn’t focused on this game:

Tom Brady has been remarkable in his 4 games this season, throwing for 1,319 yards and 12 TDs. The Patriots have won all 4 games, and their closest game was an 11-point victory in Pittsburgh. With an extra week to get healthy and the conversation about how Seattle lost Super Bowl XLIX more than New England won, I could see the Pats stepping on the gas and never letting up.

The Seahawks will be without RB Thomas Rawls and potentially RB Christine Michael as well. That would open the door for rookie C.J. Prosise to take RB1 snaps, with only 9 career carries under his belt. That would essentially make Seattle a one-dimensional offense, which is never a good idea against a team that had 2 weeks to prepare for you. The Seahawks were just picked apart by slot man/scat back Robert Woods for a 10-162-0 stat line. WR Julian Edelman must be licking his chops thinking about this matchup. I love this spot for the Pats. Gillette might explode.

 

 

 

That’s all for this week. Call me Jordan Belfort because money is the oxygen of capitalism and I want to breathe more than any man alive.

money-wolf-of-wall-street